Influenza roadmap:
Control Strategies
Roadmap for the development of disease control strategies for influenza
Download Influenza-control-development-roadmap4
Modelling interventions
Dependencies
Next steps
Modelling interventions
Research Question
- Mathematical models that can improve prevention and control measures for influenza viruses
- Geo-epidemiologic models that can improve prevention and control measures for influenza viruses
Research Gaps and Challenges
- Mathematical/computational modelling of outbreak dynamics to inform public policy
- Need for data as early as possible to populate the model
- What are the specific datasets necessary as basic minimum for a good model?
- Models to include climate change data that affects wild bird migration
- Difficulty to track different vectors movements
- Diverse strains and clades
Solution Routes
- Impact of airborne transmission (wind or ventilation system)
- Improvement of current modelling systems with new knowledge on transmissions routes, epidemiological and environmental data
- Inclusion of epidemiological, environmental, and socioeconomic data into comprehensive viral prediction systems
- Computational risk modelling based on epidemiological and surveillance data, including diverse strains and clades
- Preset/well defined data fields to ease data movement and collection
- Models taking into account vaccinated/unvaccinated populations and
vaccines’ /(incl. R0) - Determination of the population (bird or animal number) sampled with environmental samples.
- Models contextualizing real-life scenarios
Dependencies
- Target surveillance efforts and disease control strategies
- Data availability to populate models
- Possibility of Data sharing between countries and from private companies
- Data collection from populations that are difficult to capture like upland gamebirds.
- Duck population data. Mortality, production parameters, antibodies, virological
- Availability of socio-economics and livelihoods data
Projects
What activities are planned or underway?
Impact of host age on viral and bacterial communities in a waterbird population.
Planned Completion date 01/11/2022
Source Countries:
Netherlands
Association of biosecurity and hygiene practices with avian influenza A/H5 and A/H9 virus infections in turkey farms.
Planned Completion date 14/03/2024
Source Countries:
Netherlands